MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:45:59| >> :600:1420372:1420372:
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Lotto Park

Union SG
0 - 3
Fenerbahce


Blessin (43'), El Amine Amoura (45'), Machida (54'), Burgess (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Batshuayi (20'), Oosterwolde (84'), Tadic (90+4' pen.)
Krunic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Union SG and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leuven 0-2 Union SG
Saturday, March 2 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Union SG 1-1 Fenerbahce

We anticipate a tight first leg on Thursday between two sides who have enjoyed pleasing European campaigns thus far and possess plenty of quality. Given the high stakes as they jostle for an aggregate lead, we cannot quite pick a winner on Thursday and anticipate them heading into next week's meeting in Turkey on level terms. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawFenerbahce
34.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 25.22% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 40.76% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)47.04% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.064 -0.06)69.28% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)61.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)22.94% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.29% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)56.71% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 34.02%
    Fenerbahce 40.76%
    Draw 25.21%
Union SGDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.02%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.76%

How you voted: Union SG vs Fenerbahce

Union SG
45.0%
Draw
23.4%
Fenerbahce
31.5%
111
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!