We say: Fiorentina 1-0 Viktoria Plzen (Fiorentina win 1-0 on aggregate)
Thursday's game is expected to be as tight as the reverse fixture at Doosan Arena, with Viktoria keen to limit Fiorentina to few clear-cut opportunities. However, the home side's quality and Conference League scoring run in Florence (no side in the competition has ever prevented them from scoring on their turf) should see Italiano's side nick the odd goal required to progress to the tournament's semis.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-2 (5.16%).