We said: Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Fiorentina
Viktoria are unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a side averaging 2.1 goals a game in this year's Conference League. However, a victory is far from guaranteed for Fiorentina, who have secured just two road wins in five (including the playoff round) in the competition this term, pointing to a share of the spoils on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.