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Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sammy Ofer Stadium
Fiorentina logo

M. Haifa
3 - 4
Fiorentina

Seck (12'), Kinda (29'), Khalaili (67')
Mohamed (10'), Dego (56'), Cafumana (69')
Cafumana (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
N'Zola (2'), Beltran (58'), Mandragora (73'), Barak (90+5')
Italiano (45+2'), Kayode (84'), Milenkovic (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Maccabi Haifa and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: M. Haifa 1-0 H. Hadera
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

We said: Maccabi Haifa 1-1 Fiorentina

The spoils could be shared in the first leg of this tie, leaving both sides with everything to play for in next week's reverse fixture in Florence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Maccabi HaifaDrawFiorentina
34.32% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 26.76% (0.0039999999999978 0) 38.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)53.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Maccabi Haifa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)29.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)65.61% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.16% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Haifa 34.32%
    Fiorentina 38.91%
    Draw 26.76%
Maccabi HaifaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 34.32%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.91%

How you voted: M. Haifa vs Fiorentina

Maccabi Haifa
26.1%
Draw
21.7%
Fiorentina
52.2%
92
rhs 2.0
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