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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio

Fluminense
2 - 1
Gremio

Silva (14'), Arias (28' pen.)
Elias Nogueira (31'), Xavier (33'), Guga (69'), Ganso (73'), Jemerson (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nunes (76')
Moreira (27'), Soteldo (30'), Portaluppi (72'), Ganso (84')
Fluminense win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 0-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 18 at 1am in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Bahia
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fluminense 1-0 Gremio (Gremio advance on penalties)

 Gremio have won eight successive competitive games against Fluminense by a single goal, and we believe that will give them a psychological edge on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
FluminenseDrawGremio
45.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 25.75% (-0.026 -0.03) 29.18% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94% (0.109 0.11)51.06% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (0.096 0.1)72.91% (-0.101 -0.1)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.6% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (0.068999999999996 0.07)56.22% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (0.072000000000003 0.07)31.84% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (0.084 0.08)68.28% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 45.06%
    Gremio 29.18%
    Draw 25.75%
FluminenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.18%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Gremio

Fluminense
58.8%
Draw
9.8%
Gremio
31.4%
51
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Gremio
2-1
Fluminense
Reinaldo (74' pen., 77')
Marchesin (68'), Braithwaite (72')
Ely (84')
Lima (58')
Ganso (68'), Thiago (72'), Esquerdinha (76')
> Preview
Jun 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 13
Gremio
1-0
Fluminense
Nunes (61')
Geromel (36'), Moreira (55')

Cano (39'), Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (52')
Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (87')
> Preview
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Fluminense
2-3
Gremio
Arias (34' pen.), Kennedy (81')
Andre (36'), Nino (45+5'), Kennedy (72')
Suarez (43', 64'), Galdino (45')
Ely (32'), Reinaldo (36'), Kannemann (45+4')
Aug 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Gremio
2-1
Fluminense
Bitello (25'), Ferreira (45+1')
Villasanti (42'), Da Silva (46'), Suarez (82')
Cano (19')
Santos (27'), Xavier (30'), Diniz (32'), Danielzinho (57'), Andre (73')
Nov 10, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 31
Gremio
1-0
Fluminense
> Preview
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