Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
We said: Frosinone 0-1 Juventus
After both clubs veered from the script last time out, it will be business as usual for 1-0 specialists Juventus, who will have to withstand the threat of several young players developed in their Under-23 side. Frosinone may have borrowed some talented kids, but Juve's hard-bitten nous should secure them three more points in the Scudetto race.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45% . A win for Frosinone had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.21%) . The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result Frosinone Draw Juventus 28.73% ( -0.2) 26.27% ( 0.29) 45% ( -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.89% ( -1.03)
46.66% ( -1.27) 53.34% ( 1.27)
25.12% ( -1.09) 74.88% ( 1.08)
66.63% ( -0.82) 33.37% ( 0.82)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.01% ( -0.91) 69.99% ( 0.91)
76.38% ( -0.6) 23.62% ( 0.59)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.29% ( -0.86) 57.71% ( 0.86)
Frosinone 28.73%
Juventus 45%
Draw 26.27%
Frosinone Draw Juventus 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.73% 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.27% 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45%
How you voted: Frosinone vs Juventus
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rhs 2.0
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