Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
We said: Napoli 2-1 Frosinone
Packed full of promising loanees borrowed from major clubs, Frosinone's youthful side may sparkle at home, but they are far less effective on the road. Even an unfamiliar Napoli XI should therefore be capable of progressing to the Coppa quarter-finals, but it could be a close call.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.15% . A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 12.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.2%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%) , while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (3.71%) . The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood .
Result Napoli Draw Frosinone 70.15% ( 0.02) 17.05% ( -0.02) 12.8% ( 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.1)
65.9% ( 0.13) 34.1% ( -0.12)
44.03% ( 0.14) 55.97% ( -0.13)
91.31% ( 0.04) 8.69% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 70.07% ( 0.09) 29.92% ( -0.09)
61.36% ( 0.09) 38.64% ( -0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.62% ( 0.09) 75.38% ( -0.08)
Napoli 70.14%
Frosinone 12.8%
Draw 17.05%
Napoli Draw Frosinone 2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 70.14% 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.05% 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.8%
How you voted: Napoli vs Frosinone
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