Frosinone

2 - 1

Genoa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.