MX23RW : Sunday, April 6 17:41:51| >> :600:229966:229966:
Fulham logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
Watford logo

Fulham
4 - 1
Watford

Muniz (26'), Jimenez (49' pen.), Andersen (65'), Castagne (85')
Cuenca (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vata (33')
Kayembe (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 3-1 Watford

The previous three FA Cup meetings between Fulham and Watford have all required replays to determine a winner, with the Hornets winning the first two (1932 and 1983) before the Cottagers triumphed in 2005. There are no replays in the competition this time around, though, and although another tight affair could be in store on Thursday, we are backing the home side to take advantage of the visitors' poor run of form and secure their spot in the fourth round, even if Silva opts to make multiple changes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawWatford
46.51% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 23.94% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.54% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)65.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)49.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.46% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.94% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 46.51%
    Watford 29.54%
    Draw 23.93%
FulhamDrawWatford
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 46.51%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.54%

How you voted: Fulham vs Watford

Fulham
Draw
Watford
Fulham
82.0%
Draw
9.0%
Watford
9.0%
111
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
4-1
Fulham
Doucoure (23'), Hughes (63'), Deeney (69'), Femenia (75')
Mariappa (44'), Janmaat (47'), Holebas (90')
Babel (33')
Chambers (66'), Christie (90')
Sep 22, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Fulham
1-1
Watford
Mitrovic (78')
Mawson (30'), Fosu-Mensah (32')
Gray (2')
Holebas (58')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
6Aston Villa3114984646051
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3124252374-5110


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