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Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Sep 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio

Gremio
1 - 2
Criciuma

Villasanti (67')
Monsalve (17'), Costa (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arthur (14'), Ronald (79')
Araujo da Costa Junior (53'), Mateus (56'), Matheusinho (72'), Walisson (85'), Ronald (90+7')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Criciuma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 0-0 Athletico PR
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawCriciuma
58.02% (2.758 2.76) 23.3% (-0.855 -0.86) 18.67% (-1.909 -1.91)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.46100000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (0.943 0.94)50.73% (-0.95 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (0.824 0.82)72.63% (-0.831 -0.83)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (1.356 1.36)17.22% (-1.363 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (2.338 2.34)47.51% (-2.344 -2.34)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.74% (-1.548 -1.55)41.26% (1.542 1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (-1.399 -1.4)77.78% (1.393 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 58.01%
    Criciuma 18.67%
    Draw 23.3%
GremioDrawCriciuma
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.99% (0.54 0.54)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.582 0.58)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.292 0.29)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.367 0.37)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.231 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 1% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.275 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.525 -0.53)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.398 -0.4)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.363 -0.36)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 18.67%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 24
Criciuma
0-1
Gremio

Meritao (19'), Hermes (56')
Monsalve (86')
Cristaldo (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo362110556282873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras36217858312770
3InternacionalInternacional351811651292265
4FortalezaFortaleza351811649341565
5FlamengoFlamengo35189853381563
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro35139134038248
8Bahia35138144545047
9Corinthians351211124443147
10Atletico Mineiro361014124652-644
11Vasco da GamaVasco35127163753-1643
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13JuventudeJuventude361012144657-1142
14Gremio35118164145-441
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR35118163842-441
16Fluminense35109163038-839
17CriciumaCriciuma35911153949-1038
18BragantinoBragantino35813143645-937
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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