Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
41.81% ( -0.38) | 25.61% ( 0.3) | 32.58% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% ( -1.26) | 49.1% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% ( -1.15) | 71.17% ( 1.15) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.67% ( -0.74) | 23.32% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.72% ( -1.08) | 57.27% ( 1.07) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( -0.57) | 28.51% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( -0.72) | 64.29% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |