Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
49.96% ( -0.04) | 24.43% ( 0.01) | 25.61% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.16% ( -0.03) | 47.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.98% ( -0.03) | 70.03% ( 0.04) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.82% ( -0.03) | 19.18% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.15% ( -0.05) | 50.85% ( 0.05) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.09% ( 0.01) | 32.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( 0.01) | 69.49% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |