Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
58.56% ( -0.03) | 22.4% ( -0.02) | 19.04% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.5% ( 0.17) | 46.5% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.22% ( 0.16) | 68.78% ( -0.15) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% ( 0.05) | 15.55% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.5% ( 0.09) | 44.49% ( -0.09) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% ( 0.15) | 38.38% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.87% ( 0.15) | 75.13% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.55% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |