Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
41.43% ( -0.07) | 25.79% ( 0.11) | 32.77% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.18% ( -0.45) | 49.81% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.18% ( -0.41) | 71.81% ( 0.4) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% ( -0.24) | 23.82% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% ( -0.34) | 57.99% ( 0.34) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% ( -0.25) | 28.74% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% ( -0.31) | 64.57% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 7 | 45 | 50 |
2 | RangersRangers | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 34 |
5 | St Mirren | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 27 |
6 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 25 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 24 |
9 | Dundee | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Ross County | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
11 | Hearts | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 20 |
12 | St Johnstone | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |