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Hoffenheim logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Nuremberg logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 1
Nuremberg

Tabakovic (27'), Chaves (71')
Tohumcu (30'), Stach (37'), Matarazzo (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Madatov (47')
Tzimas (1'), Justvan (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hoffenheim and Nuremberg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 27 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Nuremberg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Nuremberg 8-3 Jahn
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Nuremberg

 Hoffenheim have been a long way from their best form this season and are likely to give a few first-team players the night off with an important league match against St Pauli at the weekend and Lyon to come in midweek. Nuremberg have built up excellent momentum coming into this match, and while they are massive outsiders, we have a feeling they may just be able to cause an upset in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.66%) and 1-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawNuremberg
45.82% (-1.556 -1.56) 21.51% (-0.035 -0.04) 32.67% (1.591 1.59)
Both teams to score 69.85% (0.985 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.51% (0.952 0.95)29.49% (-0.951 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.43% (1.149 1.15)50.57% (-1.147 -1.15)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.28% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)13.72% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.03% (-0.303 -0.3)40.97% (0.304 0.3)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (1.284 1.28)19.04% (-1.283 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37% (2.086 2.09)50.63% (-2.086 -2.09)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 45.82%
    Nuremberg 32.67%
    Draw 21.51%
HoffenheimDrawNuremberg
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.348 -0.35)
3-2 @ 4.69% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-3 @ 1.29% (0.055 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 45.82%
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 7.09% (0.105 0.11)
0-0 @ 2.61% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 2.6% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.145 0.15)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.92% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.127 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.157 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.63% (0.148 0.15)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 32.67%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Nuremberg

Hoffenheim
52.9%
Draw
20.6%
Nuremberg
26.5%
34
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Hoffenheim
2-1
Nuremberg
Kramaric (25' pen., 78')
Posch (15'), Joelinton (90'), Grillitsch (90')
Behrens (61')
Erras (24'), Leibold (79')
Oct 20, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Nuremberg
1-3
Hoffenheim
Behrens (18' pen.)
Valentini (36'), Misidjan (38'), Lowen (45'), Muhl (69')
Nelson (50', 57'), Szalai (67')
Grillitsch (33'), Vogt (63')
Jan 25, 2014 2.30pm
Nuremberg
4-0
Hoffenheim
Chandler (24'), Drmic (42', 70'), Ginczek (48')
Chandler (31')

Firmino (71'), Modeste (77'), Rudy (87')
> Match Report
Aug 10, 2013 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-2
Nuremberg
Abraham (36'), Modeste (52')
Stark (30'), Polanski (80')
Frantz (54'), Ginczek (56')
Balitsch (61'), Pogatetz (69'), Feulner (74')
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2013 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-1
Nuremberg
Weis (11'), Salihovic (19')
Rudy (32'), Casteels (58')
Simons (58' pen.)
Esswein (39'), Balitsch (68')
> Match Report
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