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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.59%) and 1-0 (5.32%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | VfL Bochum |
45.34% ( 0.62) | 21.68% ( 0.05) | 32.97% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 69.33% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.78% ( -0.53) | 30.21% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.55% ( -0.64) | 51.44% ( 0.64) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.84% ( 0) | 14.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.16% ( 0.01) | 41.83% ( -0.02) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% ( -0.58) | 19.23% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% ( -0.97) | 50.94% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.34% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) 3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.38% Total : 32.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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