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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
46.63% ( -0.1) | 22.7% ( 0.16) | 30.66% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 64.18% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.55% ( -0.84) | 36.45% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.41% ( -0.92) | 58.59% ( 0.92) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0.36) | 16.08% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.52% ( -0.65) | 45.47% ( 0.65) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.48% ( -0.45) | 23.51% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.44% ( -0.65) | 57.55% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.75% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |