MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:41:56| >> :600:277710:277710:
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stade Henri Desgrange
Brest logo

La Roche
0 - 1
Brest


Ndiaye (35'), Khouma (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajorque (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between La Roche and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

La Roche

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Last Game: Orleans 1-1 La Roche (2-4 pen.)
Friday, November 29 at 6pm in Coupe de France
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Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 4-1 Nantes
Sunday, December 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: La Roche 1-3 Brest

 Brest may see this competition as a potential backup plan to try and remain in Europe next season given their poor performance in Ligue 1 so far this term. Plenty of changes are expected for the visitors here but we feel they will still claim a fairly straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 77.86%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for La Roche had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.49%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a La Roche win it was 1-0 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
La RocheDrawBrest
8.02% (0.0159 0.02) 14.12% (0.061 0.06) 77.86% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 48.25% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.38% (-0.261 -0.26)34.62% (0.258 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.44% (-0.292 -0.29)56.56% (0.288 0.29)
La Roche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.99% (-0.145 -0.15)48.01% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.76% (-0.108 -0.11)83.24% (0.105 0.11)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)7.19% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.89% (-0.197 -0.2)26.11% (0.194 0.19)
Score Analysis
    La Roche 8.03%
    Brest 77.84%
    Draw 14.12%
La RocheDrawBrest
1-0 @ 2.53% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.03%
1-1 @ 6.67% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.45% (0.045 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 14.12%
0-2 @ 11.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 5.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-5 @ 3.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 77.84%

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