Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Brest |
59.14% ( -0.1) | 21.44% ( 0.06) | 19.42% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% ( -0.2) | 41.7% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% ( -0.21) | 64.1% ( 0.21) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% ( -0.1) | 13.76% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.93% ( -0.19) | 41.06% ( 0.19) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.82% ( -0.08) | 35.17% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% ( -0.09) | 71.92% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Brest |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 59.14% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |