Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.