MX23RW : Monday, January 6 12:20:41| >> :600:1260098:1260098:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Lesotho national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Rwanda national football team

Lesotho
0 - 1
Rwanda


Fothoane (26'), Mkwanazi (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kwizera (45')
Bizimana (20'), Mugisha (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Lesotho and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-2 Lesotho
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Rwanda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 1-0 Rwanda
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Lesotho 1-1 Rwanda

 Few would have expected these two teams to be leading the group after three weeks, and a win for either will put them in a very strong position when the competition resumes in March next year. However, with both sides being very evenly matched on paper, we cannot see a clear favourite here and feel that they will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.26%) and 1-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-0 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rwanda in this match.

Result
LesothoDrawRwanda
32.66% (-0.161 -0.16) 30.9% (-0.11 -0.11) 36.43% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 39.72% (0.246 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.11% (0.296 0.3)67.89% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.14% (0.196 0.2)85.86% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.29% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (0.048999999999999 0.05)75.05% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (0.34399999999999 0.34)35.63% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (0.354 0.35)72.4% (-0.355 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Lesotho 32.66%
    Rwanda 36.42%
    Draw 30.89%
LesothoDrawRwanda
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.49% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 32.66%
0-0 @ 13.64% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-1 @ 13.51%
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.89%
0-1 @ 14.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.42%

How you voted: Lesotho vs Rwanda

Lesotho
50.0%
Draw
34.4%
Rwanda
15.6%
32
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!