Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.3%) and 3-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.