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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Apr 1, 2023 at 12pm UK
nib Stadium
Macarthur

Perth Glory
2 - 1
Macarthur

Taggart (69'), Beevers (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rose (43')
Aspropotamitis (45+1'), Millar (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, March 19 at 8am in Australian A-League

We said: Perth Glory 1-0 Macarthur

 Perth Glory have been very solid at home all season, defeating third-placed Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 in their last match at HBF Park, and they should be able to eke out a narrow victory on Saturday. Macarthur showed signs of improvement in the 1-1 draw against Melbourne City last time out, but their form has otherwise been patchy in recent weeks, and it is too early to say they have turned the corner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Perth Glory in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Perth Glory.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMacarthur
38.85% (-0.393 -0.39) 23.66% (-0.186 -0.19) 37.49% (0.583 0.58)
Both teams to score 62.78% (0.748 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.959 0.96)39.17% (-0.955 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.5% (0.998 1)61.49% (-0.994 -0.99)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (0.23 0.23)20.44% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (0.363 0.36)52.89% (-0.36 -0.36)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.718 0.72)21.09% (-0.714 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (1.103 1.1)53.91% (-1.1 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 38.85%
    Macarthur 37.49%
    Draw 23.66%
Perth GloryDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.84% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.58% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (0.08 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.49%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2022 6am
Macarthur
1-0
Perth Glory
Arabuli (71')
Uskok (14')
Apr 3, 2022 9.20am
Macarthur
4-2
Perth Glory
Davila (38' pen.), Noone (54' pen.), Toure (82'), Najjar (90+6')
Mutch (24'), M'Mombwa (44'), McGing (65')
M'Mombwa (66')
Colli (1'), Ostler (18')
Clisby (46'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Colli (56')
Feb 23, 2022 8.55am
Perth Glory
0-1
Macarthur

O'Neill (53')
Davila (9')
Susnjar (50')
Susnjar (76')
May 23, 2021 11.15am
Perth Glory
1-1
Macarthur
Castro (13' pen.)
Malik (69'), D'Agostino (84')
Derbyshire (30')
M'Mombwa (3'), Puyo (34'), Rose (65')
May 1, 2021 6.05am
Perth Glory
0-0
Macarthur

Armiento (81')

Genreau (59'), Golec (64'), Ruhs (80')
rhs 2.0
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