MX23RW : Tuesday, February 4 02:46:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2024 at 8.15am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Macarthur

Wellington
3 - 0
Macarthur

Barbarouses (22'), Payne (29'), Zawada (90+2' pen.)
Rufer (54'), Salas (84'), Zawada (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Drew (41')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington
Friday, April 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, April 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
47.72% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 21.2% (0.311 0.31) 31.07% (-0.354 -0.35)
Both teams to score 70.21% (-1.445 -1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.3% (-1.777 -1.78)28.7% (1.771 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.39% (-2.215 -2.22)49.6% (2.211 2.21)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (-0.643 -0.64)12.81% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (-1.331 -1.33)39.14% (1.326 1.33)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-1.062 -1.06)19.47% (1.056 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-1.763 -1.76)51.33% (1.758 1.76)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 47.72%
    Macarthur 31.07%
    Draw 21.2%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.295 0.3)
1-0 @ 5.13% (0.405 0.41)
3-2 @ 4.83% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.118 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.48% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 8.39% (0.399 0.4)
2-2 @ 7.05% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.63% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 2.5% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.104 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.289 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.07%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 7.01am
Gameweek 17
Macarthur
1-2
Wellington
Oliveira (78')
Lewis (22'), M'Mombwa (75')
Barbarouses (31' pen., 73')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Dec 18, 2023 8am
Gameweek 8
Macarthur
0-3
Wellington

Nicolaou (9'), Aspropotamitis (53'), Baccus (85')
Kraev (40'), Barbarouses (58', 61')
Rufer (13'), Pennington (26')
Apr 29, 2023 8am
Gameweek 26
Macarthur
0-1
Wellington
Zawada (11')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 6am
Gameweek 16
Macarthur
2-1
Wellington
Davila (32'), Najjar (49')
Kraev (4')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 2am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
4-1
Macarthur
Old (45+3'), Lewis (65'), Waine (67'), Kraev (75')
Rose (59')
rhs 2.0
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