MX23RW : Friday, October 18 04:16:27| >> :600:470372:470372:
Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov
Braga

M. Petah Tikva
0 - 5
Braga


Azugi (29'), Teper (45+1'), Glazer (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Marin (29'), Fernandes (41'), Zalazar (45+4'), Galabov (62' og.), El Ouazzani (90+1' pen.)
Marin (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-0 M. Petah Tikva
Thursday, July 25 at 8.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Braga 2-0 M. Petah Tikva
Thursday, July 25 at 8.30pm in Europa League

We said: Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-1 Braga (Braga win 3-0 on aggregate)

There is a big gulf in class between these two clubs, and Europa League regulars Braga should get the job done with the minimum of fuss. Without even benefiting from home advantage, Maccabi Petah Tikva are set to tamely drop into the Conference League qualifiers, where they may meet better-matched opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 10.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 2-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Petah TikvaDrawBraga
10.89% (0.104 0.1) 16.43% (0.141 0.14) 72.67% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Both teams to score 51.7% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.55% (-0.383 -0.38)36.45% (0.386 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.41% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)58.59% (0.424 0.42)
Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)43.36% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.41% (-0.064 -0.06)79.59% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.28% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)8.72% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70% (-0.363 -0.36)30% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Petah Tikva 10.89%
    Braga 72.67%
    Draw 16.43%
Maccabi Petah TikvaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 3.22% (0.025 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.16% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 10.89%
1-1 @ 7.71% (0.076 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 16.43%
0-2 @ 11.25% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 9.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 5.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.66% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.72% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-6 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 72.67%

How you voted: M. Petah Tikva vs Braga

Maccabi Petah Tikva
19.4%
Draw
13.9%
Braga
66.7%
36
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 8.30pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Braga
2-0
M. Petah Tikva
Horta (56'), Zalazar (59' pen.)
Saatci (66')

Karo (9'), Wolff (41'), Hazan (48')
rhs 2.0
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