MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 00:10:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Casa Pia

Braga
4 - 3
Casa Pia

Djalo (12'), Ruiz (60', 88'), Zalazar (64')
Oliveira (56'), Djalo (74'), Cardoso (90+2')
Djalo (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Soma (35'), Lelo (51'), Oliveira (72' og.)
Soma (36'), Tchamba (83'), Lameiras (90+2'), Lameiras (90+2')
Chalo (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Braga
Saturday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Casa Pia

Braga know that they need to avoid any slip-ups in their final three games of the season as they look to secure a spot in Europe. Given the stakes of Sunday's game, we anticipate Jorge's side will go all out and secure maximum points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawCasa Pia
72.78% (-0.578 -0.58) 16.26% (0.301 0.3) 10.95% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)35.41% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.55% (-0.759 -0.76)57.45% (0.759 0.76)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)8.44% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.69% (-0.726 -0.73)29.31% (0.725 0.72)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)78.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Braga 72.78%
    Casa Pia 10.96%
    Draw 16.26%
BragaDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.59% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 72.78%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.26%
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.96%

How you voted: Braga vs Casa Pia

Braga
96.0%
Draw
0.0%
Casa Pia
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Casa Pia
1-3
Braga
Clayton (74' pen.)
Mukendi (90+6')
Moutinho (51'), Banza (77'), Zalazar (88')
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-1
Casa Pia
Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')
Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Horta (54')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Oliveira (22')
Nov 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
0-1
Casa Pia
Martins (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto17131340112940
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!