Madagascar vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.64%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.