Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Gambia1 - 0Madagascar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Gambia
Friday, October 11 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last Game: Madagascar 1-1 Gambia
Friday, October 11 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, October 11 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Gambia 1-1 Madagascar
While Gambia dominated play in the last match, Madagascar have proven time and again of late that they are a difficult side to defeat. There was nothing to separate these two at the final whistle last week and we are expecting the same outcome in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Madagascar |
36.19% ( 0.9) | 27.49% ( 0.15) | 36.31% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.36% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
