We said: Comoros 0-1 Tunisia
While Comoros defended excellently against Tunisia in their last clash, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong overall form.
However, the hosts could frustrate Tunisia given the away team have relied on late winners in their two wins in the group stage so far.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.