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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Southampton logo

Man City
1 - 0
Southampton

Haaland (5')
Kovacic (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Downes (42'), Martin (43'), Armstrong (48'), Lallana (56')

The Match

Match Report

Erling Haaland ends his three-game Premier League streak without a goal as Manchester City rise to the top of the table with a 1-0 victory over Southampton.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Southampton.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Southampton on Saturday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-0 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Southampton 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
77.26% (-0.393 -0.39) 13.44% (0.161 0.16) 9.31% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 58.03% (0.355 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.91% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)46.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.55% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)5.44% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.71% (-0.211 -0.21)21.29% (0.207 0.21)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.42 0.42)38.63% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.399 0.4)75.37% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 77.26%
    Southampton 9.31%
    Draw 13.44%
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.64% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.29% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.66% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.85% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.78% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 0.9% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 77.26%
1-1 @ 5.82% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.1% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.44%
1-2 @ 2.77% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 2% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.035 0.03)
0-2 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 9.31%

How you voted: Man City vs Southampton

Manchester City
85.6%
Draw
8.3%
Southampton
6.1%
181
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Southampton
1-4
Man City
Mara (72')
Braut Haaland (45', 68'), Grealish (58'), Alvarez (75' pen.)
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Southampton
2-0
Man City
Mara (23'), Djenepo (28')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Man City
4-0
Southampton
Cancelo (20'), Foden (32'), Mahrez (49'), Braut Haaland (65')
Mar 20, 2022 3pm
Quarter-Finals
Southampton
1-4
Man City
Laporte (45+2' og.)
Sterling (12'), De Bruyne (62' pen.), Foden (75'), Mahrez (78')
Steffen (71')
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Build-up
Manchester City's Jack Grealish pictured on August 24, 2024
Man City injury, suspension news and return dates for Southampton clash: Grealish, Doku, De Bruyne, Walker
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Southampton on Saturday.
Oct 24, 09:10
Manchester City's Matheus Nunes celebrates scoring his first goal on September 24, 2024
Man City lineup vs. Southampton: Predicted XI for Premier League clash
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Southampton.
Oct 24, 15:12
Southampton's Jack Stephens pictured on August 24, 2024
Southampton lineup vs. Man City: Predicted XI for Premier League clash
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Southampton could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.
Oct 24, 15:13
Southampton head coach Russell Martin looks dejected on September 21, 2024
Man City vs. Southampton: Why Saints may regret £20m transfer decision for "killer" striker
Southampton are lacking a "killer" striker such as Ipswich Town's Liam Delap amidst their difficult start to life back in the Premier League, Man City expert Steven McInerney from Esteemed Kompany tells Sports Mole.
Oct 24, 18:00
Southampton boss Russell Martin on September 21, 2024
Man City vs. Southampton: Pep Guardiola explains why Saints must stick with Russell Martin amid sack rumours
Man City boss Pep Guardiola is confident that Russell Martin "will have success sooner or later" as Southampton manager and has urged the club's hierarchy to stand by his philosophy.
Oct 25, 14:38
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reacts on October 20, 2024
Man City looking to avoid unwanted club record in Southampton Premier League clash
Manchester City will want to avoid setting an unwanted club record when they face Southampton in Saturday's Premier League clash.
Oct 25, 19:43
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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