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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Southampton logo

Man City
1 - 0
Southampton

Haaland (5')
Kovacic (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Downes (42'), Martin (43'), Armstrong (48'), Lallana (56')

The Match

Match Report

Erling Haaland ends his three-game Premier League streak without a goal as Manchester City rise to the top of the table with a 1-0 victory over Southampton.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Southampton.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Southampton on Saturday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Southampton

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
77.26% (-0.393 -0.39) 13.44% (0.161 0.16) 9.31% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 58.03% (0.355 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.91% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)46.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.55% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)5.44% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.71% (-0.211 -0.21)21.29% (0.207 0.21)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.42 0.42)38.63% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.399 0.4)75.37% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 77.26%
    Southampton 9.31%
    Draw 13.44%
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.64% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.29% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.66% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.85% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.78% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 0.9% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 77.26%
1-1 @ 5.82% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.1% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.44%
1-2 @ 2.77% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 2% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.035 0.03)
0-2 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 9.31%

How you voted: Man City vs Southampton

Manchester City
85.6%
Draw
8.3%
Southampton
6.1%
181
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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