Man Utd

5 - 2

Leicester

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.