Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.36%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.