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Women's Super League | Gameweek 6
Nov 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd
1 - 1
Arsenal

Malard (82')
Turner (57'), Ferreira (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Russo (63')
Little (10'), McCabe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Man Utd
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Arsenal Women

Man United will be in a confident mood following their encouraging start to the campaign, and after winning both of their home league games this season, we think that the Red Devils will produce another strong home performance to edge out Arsenal and maintain their 100% record in the top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawArsenal Women
36.12% (1.876 1.88) 23.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.48% (-1.873 -1.87)
Both teams to score 63.63% (0.44 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.99% (0.401 0.4)38.01% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73% (0.428 0.43)60.27% (-0.426 -0.43)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (1.163 1.16)21.26% (-1.162 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (1.769 1.77)54.18% (-1.768 -1.77)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.64399999999999 -0.64)19.19% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-1.075 -1.08)50.88% (1.076 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 36.12%
    Arsenal Women 40.48%
    Draw 23.39%
Manchester United WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.242 0.24)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.243 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.151 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.208 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.154 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.12%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.272 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.344 -0.34)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 40.48%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Arsenal

Manchester United Women
58.8%
Draw
11.8%
Arsenal Women
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Arsenal
3-1
Man Utd
Ferreira (10' og.), Lacasse (35'), Little (44' pen.)
McCabe (38'), Wubben-Moy (50'), Foord (90')
Garcia (90+6')
Blundell (26'), Evans (34')
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Man Utd
2-2
Arsenal
Galton (27'), Malard (81')
Zelem (58')
Blackstenius (14'), Lacasse (90+3')
Eidevall (59'), McCabe (61'), Foord (63')
Apr 19, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 18
Man Utd
1-0
Arsenal
Russo (45+6')
Nov 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Arsenal
2-3
Man Utd
Maanum (46'), Wienroither (73')
Toone (39'), Turner (85'), Russo (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Arsenal
1-1
Man Utd
Blackstenius (79')
McCabe (57'), Miedema (63')
McCabe (75')
Russo (10')
Caldwell (55')
rhs 2.0
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