Man Utd Women1 - 0Arsenal Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 15 at 5.15pm in Women's FA Cup
for
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Arsenal Women
Man United have proven to be a tough team to beat on home turf, winning eight of their last nine competitive home matches. After winning the reverse fixture 3-2 in November, we think that the Red Devils will make full use of home advantage to claim another narrow victory over Arsenal on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
46.38% ( 0.4) | 23.27% ( 0.32) | 30.34% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 61.9% ( -1.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.63% ( -1.93) | 39.37% ( 1.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.29% ( -2.04) | 61.71% ( 2.04) |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.7% ( -0.59) | 17.3% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.34% ( -1.05) | 47.66% ( 1.05) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% ( -1.39) | 25.15% ( 1.39) |