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Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Feb 17, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Park

Arsenal Women
3 - 1
Man Utd Women

Ferreira (10' og.), Lacasse (35'), Little (44' pen.)
McCabe (38'), Wubben-Moy (50'), Foord (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Garcia (90+6')
Blundell (26'), Evans (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-1 Arsenal Women
Sunday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 2-2 Manchester United Women

Both teams will be desperate to claim all three points in their quest to secure a top-three place, but after playing out a draw in October's reverse fixture, we think that the two sides may have to settle for a share of the spoils once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Manchester United Women has a probability of 26.38% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win is 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.54%).

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester United Women
50.67% (0.119 0.12) 22.95% (-0.247 -0.25) 26.38% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 59.94% (0.982 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.38% (1.246 1.25)40.61% (-1.244 -1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37% (1.267 1.27)63% (-1.264 -1.26)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.50099999999999 0.5)16.18% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (0.905 0.91)45.66% (-0.902 -0.9)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (0.753 0.75)28.48% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (0.935 0.93)64.25% (-0.932 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 50.67%
    Manchester United Women 26.38%
    Draw 22.95%
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.39% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 50.67%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.114 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.268 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.38%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Man Utd Women

Arsenal Women
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
Manchester United Women
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Man Utd Women
2-2
Arsenal Women
Galton (27'), Malard (81')
Zelem (58')
Blackstenius (14'), Lacasse (90+3')
Eidevall (59'), McCabe (61'), Foord (63')
Apr 19, 2023 7.15pm
Nov 19, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Arsenal Women
2-3
Man Utd Women
Maanum (46'), Wienroither (73')
Toone (39'), Turner (85'), Russo (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Arsenal Women
1-1
Man Utd Women
Blackstenius (79')
McCabe (57'), Miedema (63')
McCabe (75')
Russo (10')
Caldwell (55')
Nov 21, 2021 12.15pm
Gameweek 8
Man Utd Women
0-2
Arsenal Women

Blundell (75')
Miedema (48'), McCabe (57' pen.)
McCabe (51')
rhs 2.0
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