Mauritania

0 - 1

Senegal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match.