Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 52.19%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.