MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:12:06| >> :600:2258266:2258266:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
3 - 2
Millonarios

Sagredo (3'), da Costa (10'), Savio (34')
Savio (38'), da Costa (75')
Rocha (25')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Castro (45+1', 72' pen.)
Pablo Vargas (15'), Castro (38')
Alfonzo (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Millonarios.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Palestino 0-4 Bolivar
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Flamengo
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
BolivarDrawMillonarios
55.7% (-0.052 -0.05) 22.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.56% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (0.083999999999996 0.08)44.63% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.081000000000003 0.08)67% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (0.013000000000005 0.01)15.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)45.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27% (0.10299999999999 0.1)34.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54% (0.108 0.11)71.46% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 55.7%
    Millonarios 21.56%
    Draw 22.73%
BolivarDrawMillonarios
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.56%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!