MX23RW : Sunday, March 30 14:48:17| >> :60:56:56:
Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
2 - 0
Bolivar

Valencia (11', 60')
Patrick (15'), Mauricio (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferreyra (8'), Bejarano (15'), Fernandez (47'), Savio (66'), Bentaberry (69'), Villamil (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Internacional and Bolivar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolivar 0-1 Internacional
Tuesday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Internacional 1-1 Bolivar (Internacional advances 2-1 on aggregate)

Bolivar have overcome a lot of odds to get to this point, but their recent away form and past history in Brazil has us sceptical they can overturn this tie in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Internacional in this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawBolivar
63.25% (0.428 0.43) 20.74% (-0.17 -0.17) 16.01% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (0.26900000000001 0.27)44.3% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (0.261 0.26)66.67% (-0.265 -0.27)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.20999999999999 0.21)13.36% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.74% (0.426 0.43)40.25% (-0.428 -0.43)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.34% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)40.66% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75% (-0.151 -0.15)77.25% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 63.24%
    Bolivar 16.01%
    Draw 20.74%
InternacionalDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.74%
0-1 @ 4.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.01%

How you voted: Internacional vs Bolivar

Internacional
Draw
Bolivar
Internacional
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Bolivar
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2023 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Bolivar
0-1
Internacional

Villamil (68'), Bentaberry (73')
Valencia (16')
Rene (30'), Mercado (57')
rhs 2.0
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