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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
44.89% ( -0.35) | 27.66% ( 0.2) | 27.45% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.91% ( -0.64) | 59.09% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.46% ( -0.5) | 79.54% ( 0.5) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.76% ( -0.47) | 26.24% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.66% ( -0.64) | 61.34% ( 0.64) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.52% ( -0.23) | 37.48% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% ( -0.23) | 74.26% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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