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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Burnley logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Burnley

Cooper (52')
Cooper (21'), Bryan (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarmiento (88'), Mejbri (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 QPR
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Burnley

This could prove to be one of the more competitive games of the weekend, Millwall having shown that they could emerge as surprise promotion contenders through the playoffs. However, Burnley are difficult to beat regardless of whether they are playing home or away, and we are backing the Clarets to come through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBurnley
44.89% (-0.354 -0.35) 27.66% (0.205 0.2) 27.45% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91% (-0.643 -0.64)59.09% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46% (-0.502 -0.5)79.54% (0.499 0.5)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.473 -0.47)26.24% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.637 -0.64)61.34% (0.636 0.64)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.233 -0.23)37.48% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (-0.228 -0.23)74.26% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 44.89%
    Burnley 27.45%
    Draw 27.65%
MillwallDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Burnley

Millwall
24.8%
Draw
30.5%
Burnley
44.8%
105
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
1-1
Burnley
Bradshaw (85')
Barnes (51')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Burnley
2-0
Millwall
Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')
Sep 23, 2020 7pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Burnley
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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