MX23RW : Wednesday, December 4 09:26:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Burnley logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Burnley

Cooper (52')
Cooper (21'), Bryan (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarmiento (88'), Mejbri (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 QPR
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Burnley

This could prove to be one of the more competitive games of the weekend, Millwall having shown that they could emerge as surprise promotion contenders through the playoffs. However, Burnley are difficult to beat regardless of whether they are playing home or away, and we are backing the Clarets to come through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBurnley
44.89% (-0.354 -0.35) 27.66% (0.205 0.2) 27.45% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91% (-0.643 -0.64)59.09% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46% (-0.502 -0.5)79.54% (0.499 0.5)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.473 -0.47)26.24% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.637 -0.64)61.34% (0.636 0.64)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.233 -0.23)37.48% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (-0.228 -0.23)74.26% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 44.89%
    Burnley 27.45%
    Draw 27.65%
MillwallDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Burnley

Millwall
24.8%
Draw
30.5%
Burnley
44.8%
105
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
1-1
Burnley
Bradshaw (85')
Barnes (51')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Burnley
2-0
Millwall
Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')
Sep 23, 2020 7pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Burnley
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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