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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
55.52% ( 2.94) | 23.31% ( -0.42) | 21.16% ( -2.52) |
Both teams to score 52.5% ( -1.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( -0.99) | 47.56% ( 0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( -0.93) | 69.77% ( 0.93) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( 0.71) | 16.97% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.93% ( 1.24) | 47.07% ( -1.24) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.23% ( -2.92) | 36.77% ( 2.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.44% ( -3.04) | 73.56% ( 3.04) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.61) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.33) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.05% Total : 55.52% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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