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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Ng (39')
Chambers (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Norre (64'), Cooper (87'), Leonard (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Preston
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Millwall

Despite Riza's affirmations that he saw some encouraging stuff from Cardiff in their loss to Hull, the Bluebirds' defensive deficiencies are there to be exposed by a Millwall side on cloud nine. While we still have faith in Cardiff to end their barren scoreless streak on home soil, we also anticipate Harris's troops having enough in the attacking tank to earn their first away win of the league season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
30.78% (0.198 0.2) 27.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 41.87% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)56.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (0.13300000000001 0.13)33.56% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (0.146 0.15)70.21% (-0.149 -0.15)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)26.68% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-0.171 -0.17)61.93% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 30.78%
    Millwall 41.87%
    Draw 27.34%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.34% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.78%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 11.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.87%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
29.5%
Draw
14.1%
Millwall
56.4%
78
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
3-1
Cardiff
Obafemi (9'), Cooper (45+4'), Watmore (90+3')
Longman (69'), Saville (90+1'), Watmore (90+4')
Meite (24')
Collins (69')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Cardiff
1-0
Millwall
Goutas (78')
Meite (62')

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Millwall
2-1
Cardiff
Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
Bagan (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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