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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Plymouth Argyle

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Esse (13')
Honeyman (8'), Azeez (45+1'), Saville (59'), Cooper (76'), Bryan (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szucs (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-0 Plymouth Argyle

 After battling back for a point against Derby on the weekend, Millwall will be desperate to grab all three points against Plymouth on Wednesday night. The Green Army are woeful on the road and with little time between Saturday's mauling at Cardiff and the trip to The Den, we are expecting a similar result for Rooney's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
58.31% (0.715 0.71) 23.29% (-0.308 -0.31) 18.39% (-0.412 -0.41)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.633 0.63)51.08% (-0.638 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (0.553 0.55)72.94% (-0.559 -0.56)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (0.48699999999999 0.49)17.24% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (0.852 0.85)47.55% (-0.857 -0.86)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.21% (-0.105 -0.11)41.78% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.75% (-0.093 -0.09)78.25% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 58.31%
    Plymouth Argyle 18.39%
    Draw 23.29%
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 11.13% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.31%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.39%

How you voted: Millwall vs Plymouth

Millwall
73.5%
Draw
11.8%
Plymouth Argyle
14.7%
68
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Millwall
1-0
Plymouth
Cooper (83')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
> Match Report
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Plymouth
Williams (31')
Williams (62')
Pericard (10')
Wotton (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds24156344152951
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd24156333141949
3Burnley2413923092148
4Sunderland24128436211544
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2311572721638
6Middlesbrough24107741311037
7Watford2311483331237
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2481242819936
9Swansea CitySwansea249692925433
10Bristol City248973028233
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds249693236-433
12Norwich CityNorwich247984036430
13Millwall237882220229
14Preston North EndPreston2461172630-429
15Coventry CityCoventry2477103234-228
16Derby CountyDerby2476112930-127
17Queens Park RangersQPR2451182432-826
18Stoke CityStoke2467112432-825
19Luton TownLuton2474132641-1525
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2366112639-1324
21Hull City2457122232-1022
22Cardiff CityCardiff2356122338-1521
23Portsmouth2248102640-1420
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2346132251-2918
> Championship Full Table


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