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Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Atlanta United

Montreal
1 - 0
Atlanta

Ruan (51')
Edwards (53'), Martinez (88'), Martinez (89'), Saliba (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 5-2 Atlanta
Sunday, July 7 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 0-0 Atlanta United

Neither side are at full strength right now because of the transfer market or international competitions, so we expect to see a dull contest between two sides that, more than anything, want to stay alive in the playoff race for now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
39.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 23.87% (0.012 0.01) 36.95% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 61.95% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)40.23% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)62.6% (0.055 0.05)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)20.74% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)53.37% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.013999999999996 0.01)21.84% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (0.018999999999998 0.02)55.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 39.18%
    Atlanta United 36.95%
    Draw 23.87%
CF MontrealDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 39.18%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Montreal vs Atlanta

CF Montreal
38.5%
Draw
42.3%
Atlanta United
19.2%
52
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
4-1
Montreal
Silva (30'), Almada (33'), Giakoumakis (46'), Mosquera (89')
Robinson (65'), Mosquera (90+1')
Hamdy (40')
Waterman (67'), Choiniere (79')
Waterman (87')
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Atlanta

Camacho (53'), Kwizera (84'), Campbell (87')
Lennon (54')
Almada (78'), Guzan (90+10')
Apr 30, 2022 9pm
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Miller (4'), Torres (81')
Camacho (10'), Wanyama (31'), Kone (58')
Moreno (51')
Moreno (51'), Franco (54'), Ibarra (76')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
3-3
Montreal
Martinez (6'), Almada (85'), Lennon (90+2')
Gutman (4'), Sosa (90+4')
Dwyer (67')
Mihailovic (28'), Kone (37'), Quioto (42' pen.)
Kone (10'), Miller (31'), Quioto (31'), Lappalainen (72'), Miljevic (82'), Camacho (90+1'), Johnston (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 12am
Gameweek 37
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Quioto (50', 55' pen.)
Mulraney (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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