Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.