Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.