Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York City FC.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
61.49% ( 0.51) | 20.11% ( -0.23) | 18.4% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 58.71% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.87% ( 0.6) | 37.12% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.68% ( 0.64) | 59.32% ( -0.64) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.34% ( 0.32) | 11.65% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.29% ( 0.68) | 36.71% ( -0.69) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( 0.06) | 33.54% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% ( 0.07) | 70.18% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.32% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |