Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.