We said: Atlanta United 1-4 Houston Dynamo
Houston and Atlanta have both struggled for form recently, but given the sheer number of absentees that Atlanta have to contend with it is fair to say that they could struggle on Sunday.
Additionally, this fixture has a history of high-scoring encounters so fans could be in for an entertaining clash.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.