Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
56.33% ( 0.05) | 24% ( -0.01) | 19.67% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.19% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.83% ( -0.02) | 52.16% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.12% ( -0.02) | 73.88% ( 0.02) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.64% ( 0.01) | 18.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.51% ( 0.02) | 49.48% ( -0.02) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.03% ( -0.07) | 40.97% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.47% ( -0.06) | 77.53% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.33% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |