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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Moreirense

Silva (68')
Mendes (20'), Mangas (43'), Silva (53'), Ribeiro (70'), Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alan (35'), Ofori (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Moreirense

With just eight games to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes know that they cannot afford any slip-ups if they are to secure a top-four finish. Pacheco's men have hit their stride in recent weeks and we fancy them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
50.95% (-0.058 -0.06) 25.61% (0.026 0.03) 23.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.36% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)75.74% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.37% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)54.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)38.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.14% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.94%
    Moreirense 23.45%
    Draw 25.61%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 23.45%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Moreirense
1-0
Guimaraes
Luis (76')
Alan (41')

Handel (55'), Ribeiro (75')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
0-1
Guimaraes

Yan (45+2'), Pacheco (90+5')
Rochinha (62')
Estupinan (23'), Semedo (36'), Rochinha (45+2'), Bamba (88'), Silva (90+4')
Nov 6, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-1
Moreirense
Edwards (19'), Duarte (85')
Rochinha (29'), Estupinan (35')
Pires (88')
Camara (42')
Apr 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Guimaraes
2-0
Moreirense
Amaro (26'), Almeida (30')
Silvio (40'), Amaro (53'), Duarte (76')

Pacheco (42')
Jan 9, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 13
Moreirense
2-2
Guimaraes
Pires (15'), Soares (70')
Pacheco (87'), D'Alberto (90+2')
Edwards (20'), Andre (68')
Quaresma (65'), Fernandes (86'), Mumin (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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